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Apr 18 2017

Georgia 6

Well, the Democrats have high hopes for this one especially after the near miss in Kansas 4. Rather than spending nothing to support a Berniecrat (as they did in Kansas), Institutional Democrats have dumped over $8 Million into this race so they can elect a nice, compliant Blue Dog.

It’s a non-partisan jungle primary meaning that unless someone wins an outright 50% + 1 victory there will be a run off on June 20th. That’s a polite way of saying that unless Jon Ossoff does it tonight he will likely fall to a united Republican Party candidate (they are currently split 11 ways with the leaders being Karen Handel who exposed the naked Republican partisanship of the Susan Koman ‘Pink Ribbon’ Breast Cancer Foundation by being such an open asshole about it, and Judson Hill whom I’m sure is equally reprehensible but I have better things to do with my life than look up Republican dickwads in Wikipedia).

As of 10 pm ET with 53% reporting Ossoff still has a chance with 50.4% v. Handel at 18.1% and Hill at 9.9%.

I’ll update this every once in a while but I’m not going to obsess about it. My prediction is that Ossoff gets a plurality, not a majority and that will be his high water mark as he loses in the runoff by a larger margin when Republicans mobilize.

Update

It’s not that I’m not paying attention, it’s that 90 minutes later we have 1% more reporting and virtually no change (as you might expect).

Update

@midnight with 84% reporting Ossoff 48.6%, Handel 19.5%, Gray 10.4%. So unless things change Ossoff falls right on the Trump margin of +1.5% and 10.25% ahead of the Price victory margin of +23.3%

So you can argue that Trump is a distinct drag on Republicans in general. Ossoff will still likely lose the June 20th runoff and probably by a greater margin.

1 comment

  1. ek hornbeck

    Vent Hole

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