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Do NOT take Western Help for your “revolution”
Ian Welsh
2014 April 24
There is no point, if you are are unhappy with your domestic regime, in accepting Western aid to overthrow it at the moment, not unless you’ve got a plan to bite the hand that feeds you. The reason is that the West is no longer exporting prosperity, and hasn’t been for some time. Excepting (sort of, very sort of) China, the last countries to get prosperity from the West were a few Eastern European ones; before that, the Asian Tigers.* Instead the sphere of prosperity based on the West is in contraction, just ask the South of Europe, or Ireland. (The Chinese sphere is another matter, though they have problems too.)
Even if you win your revolution with foreign aid, a la Libya or the Western Ukraine, you aren’t going to be offered a good deal: the Ukraine is still going to get shafted by the IMF to the tune of a 50% cut in pensions, a 50% increase in gas prices even before Russian price increases, government austerity and selling off the crown jewels of energy companies and arable land to foreigners. Libya is a bloody mess: again, however bad Qaddafi was, he was better than the current situation.
There is no real money; no real resources, for prosperity to be spread to new nations by the West and its allies (like Japan). The new money being created is heavily leveraged debt piled on the back of countries who already can’t pay, money they’d be better off without.
So, don’t play with the West. Don’t take their money and aid in overthrowing your corrupt government, unless you know exactly what you’re doing and plan to to turn on them and align with someone else. If you do, your country will be worse off.
Though, perhaps you should take their money. Personally, I mean. You can get rich yourself and then escape your country, if you’re a traitor.
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Exceptional.