Refuseniks

To bottom line it you know by now that Moscow Mitch and Lily Livered Lindsey’s Senate Resolution (non binding because it’s blatantly unConstitutional and historically the House doesn’t give a rat’s ass what the Senate thinks about it’s procedures- piss up a rope!) condemning the rules the House is using to conduct it’s investigation of Unindicted Co-conspirator Bottomless Pinocchio as “Unconstitutional” even though they were the ones instituted in 2015 by the Republican Majority House under former Leader and current Marijuana Spokesperson John Boehner for Trey Gowdy’s investigation of Hillary Clinton and Benghazi (BENGHAZI! BENGHAZI!!!).

Kharma’s a bitch dudes.

Anyway Napping Turtle McConnell didn’t count the votes so good this time (though maybe he did but felt he had to do it anyway) and he lost 46 – 54.

I will remind you right up front that all this procedural stuff is utterly irrelevant-

Unindicted Co-conspirator Bottomless Pinocchio solicited a Campaign contribution from a Foreign Government. That is illegal because it breaks Campaign Finance Law. It’s also Unconstitutional because it violates the Emoluments Clause. Unindicted Co-Conspirator withheld the property of the Government who’s favor he was soliciting. This is highly Illegal, it’s called Extortion. He did so with money duly authorized by the Congress, both Houses, in a lawful appropriation authorized by his signature scrawl. This is Contempt of Congress. This is failure to uphold your Oath of Office to ensure the laws of the United States are faithfully executed.

Ceterum autem censeo Carthaginem esse delendam.

How a small number of GOP defections could doom Trump in 2020
By Paul Waldman, Washington Post
October 25, 2019

Whatever he thought he would accomplish with his resolution, Graham set up a loyalty test for the 53 Republican senators, to send a signal to the president himself and to their voters: Are you willing to stand behind Trump no matter what?

What he got was not a unanimous “Yes!” While 46 Republicans signed on, seven refused: Susan Collins, Cory Gardner, Lisa Murkowski, Mitt Romney, Lamar Alexander, Johnny Isakson, and Mike Enzi. It’s a revealing group.

Enzi, Isakson, and Alexander are all retiring. Murksowski has cultivated a reputation for moderation and principle, one in which opposing Trump is key to her brand (she voted against repealing the Affordable Care Act and opposed Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court). Mitt Romney has become Trump’s chief Republican critic in Congress.

And Susan Collins and Cory Garnder? They’re the two most vulnerable Republicans up for reelection in 2020. And the only two representing states Hillary Clinton won in 2016.

To say they’re in a tough spot would be an understatement. In order to get reelected, they need to both hold on to their Republican voters and win over some independents and Democrats. If they turn against Trump they alienate GOP loyalists, but if they support him too slavishly they risk alienating everyone else. They may be able to duck the question for now, but come the Senate trial it will no longer be possible.

This is where you object, “But most Republicans will never abandon Trump!” Which is true. Even most of those appalled by his misdeeds know that their constituents will stick with him no matter what is revealed. There’s no margin for them in opposing him, because they represent heavily Republican districts and states.

But you don’t need a large number of Republicans to oppose Trump to have a profound impact on the 2020 election. All you need is some kind of critical mass, enough to signal to moderate Republican voters that you can still be a Republican and vote for a Democrat in 2020, or vote third party, or not vote at all.

Imagine, then, the vote that occurs after the Senate trial. By then we’ll surely know even more about all the impeachable things Trump did. All 47 Democrats vote for removal. So do Collins, Murkowski, and Romney. That makes 50. Throw in just one more — Lisa Murkowski or Lamar Alexander, or maybe another vulnerable senator like Martha McSally of Arizona — and you have a majority of the Senate voting to remove Trump, even if it’s far short of the 67 votes needed.

If that occurs, “Republicans Divided!” would become one of the big stories coming out of impeachment. As 2020 progresses, candidates like Gardner and Collins could decide, if they seem to be headed for defeat, that the only thing that will save them is full-throated opposition to Trump. The same could be true of other Republicans running for the House or governorships.

The result would be a good-sized collection of Republican candidates opposing Trump all over the country — enough to signal Republicans everywhere that defection from this president is not treason against their party.

And that would almost guarantee Trump’s defeat.

Trump believes that he got elected not by reaching across the middle but by exciting his base, so everything he says and does is meant to cultivate that base. That’s his 2020 strategy as well. For it to work, however, he needs not only to get his supporters to the polls but to keep moderate Republicans from defecting or staying home. The entire election must be seen to be as partisan as possible, so Republicans say what they did in 2016: I may not like him, but as a Republican I’m going to support him.

The flip side of Trump’s strategy of hate and fear is that it makes it impossible for any Democrats to vote for him. So if he suffers a significant number of defections among Republican voters, he’s doomed.

At this point nothing is certain; it could well be that by election day Trump’s support among Republican voters is as firm as it was in 2016. But he can ill afford to lose any Republican support. And it may already be happening.

Personally I’ve learned to trust Republicans to lie and renege. I expect that when push comes to shove each and every one of the 7 Refuseniks will vote in lockstep. They’re all doomed anyway, they can’t redeem themselves at this point from their responsibility for the current state pf affairs. All they can do is discourage their base.

But it doesn’t matter. Unindicted Co-conspirator Bottomless Pinocchio and his Cabinet of Racketeers and Criminals are breaking the law and violating the Constitution EVERY SINGLE DAY!

Allowing this behavior to stand without at least attempting accountability will destroy the Republic and it it will be a choice between fight or flee. Must admit I don’t have the throwing arm I had 60 years ago but I make up for it in guile and ruthlessness.