Jun 13 2014

No Mask

I’m no expert and who believes them anyway?  Normally I support my opinions by quoting sources, these are my naked oservations.

Iraq is collapsing.  The Kurds are carving out their Kurdistan.  The Sunni are reclaiming their Assyria.  Persia is asserting its empire (not called the Persian Gulf for nothing).

In short the artificial divisions imposed by French and British Colonialism are dissolving.

Is this a good thing?  As Mao famously said of whether the invention of fire was good for the Chinese people- “Too soon to tell.”

Was this predicatble, in that nobody could have predicted except Tom Clancy kind of way?

Pfft.

Everybody predicted it.

Would a U.S. troop prescence have prevented it?  Can U.S. military action undo it?

The British ruled India for 300 years.  After they left a great civil war divided the territory along ethnic and sectarian lines.  How long should they have stayed?

No.

rustymancuso581

3 comments

    • on 06/13/2014 at 22:13
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    on people who don’t want it. This is a civil war and we need to stay out of it.

    I only wish politicians were so quick to demand action on climate change. Perhaps if the defense contractors would benefit financially, we’d see a different attitude from TPTB.

    • on 06/13/2014 at 22:50
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    Or as he points out at http://www.ianwelsh.net/the-we…

    The bottom line here is that the Iraqi army collapsed: it did not fight.

    Some people want the US to go back in.  That is a mistake.  The Iraqi government was never likely to survive on its own, as constituted, any more than the Afghan government will survive the American pullout.  The Iraqi government was artificial, without an actual power base which believed in it enough to fight for it.  The same is true, again, in Afghanistan.

    You can only keep such tools in power by main, external, force.  If you go back into Iraq, you can’t leave because America is incapable of setting up a government which will be able to maintain control: people will not fight and die for the sort of deeply corrupt thugs that America today always puts in charge.

    Meanwhile: Lots of USAiis are happy to fight and die for the deeply corrupt thugs in charge back here — because that’s getting to be just about the only steady job on offer.

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